Scientists have used complex modelling to predict the exact date the coronavirus crisis will end in the UK – along with dates for the USA, Italy and other badly-hit countries. The date would signify the moment the UK moves to Level One in the new coronavirus alert system – the lowest level of lockdown measures. The Singapore University of Technology innovation lab has predicted the exact date the UK will be free of Covid and can enter level one by using data-driven predictions. It says the prediction is ‘uncertain’ and can change with time – meaning it is vulnerable to changes caused by easing lockdown and people breaching the rules. The current rules in the UK will stay in place until the start of June when schools in England could reopen – with more businesses, cafes and shops opening in July. The lab has also predicted when the coronavirus crisis will end in various countries around the world, reports the DailyStar. Experts have plotted the rate of deaths in the UK in order to predict when the country will be free of the virus Image: ddi. A spokesman for The Singapore University of Technology said: “The model and data are inaccurate to the complex, evolving, and heterogeneous realities of different countries.
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Patrick Vallance says aim is to broaden peak of epidemic as Jeremy Hunt raises concerns.
The Singapore University of Technology has used data-driven modelling to predict the exact day the coronavirus crisis will be over in the UK, meaning social distancing measures can be lifted. Get our daily coronavirus email newsletter with all the news you need to know direct to your inbox. Scientists have predicted that the UK will be free of coronavirus by September. Researchers in Singapore have used complex modelling to determine the exact date that the crisis can be declared over in countries around the world.
Using data-driven estimates, they say that by September 30 the deadly bug will no longer be present in Britain, the Daily Star reports. However, Italy and Singapore are set to stamp out the disease first, where the crisis is expected to recede by August 12 and July 19 respectively. Meanwhile, a leading professor at Oxford University has forecast that the UK’s declining death rates could reach the stage of no fatalities being recorded on some days by the end of June.
For the latest on the coronavirus pandemic, read our liveblog here. Reaching zero cases means that the UK will be able to move to Level One in the Government’s new coronavirus alert system, which would mean no social distancing measures are required.